Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000236 0.000264 0.000294 0.000329 0.000368 0.000410 0.000458
2024-12-15 0.000201 0.000240 0.000284 0.000338 0.000403 0.000477 0.000570
2024-12-22 0.000174 0.000219 0.000274 0.000345 0.000434 0.000543 0.000686
2024-12-29 0.000152 0.000201 0.000264 0.000349 0.000462 0.000607 0.000806
2025-01-05 0.000132 0.000183 0.000251 0.000347 0.000480 0.000659 0.000917
2025-01-12 0.000118 0.000170 0.000242 0.000349 0.000503 0.000718 0.001043
2025-01-19 0.000106 0.000159 0.000235 0.000352 0.000527 0.000781 0.001179
2025-01-26 0.000095 0.000147 0.000225 0.000348 0.000540 0.000828 0.001296
2025-02-02 0.000090 0.000144 0.000227 0.000364 0.000583 0.000923 0.001493
2025-02-09 0.000083 0.000138 0.000224 0.000369 0.000610 0.000995 0.001662
2025-02-16 0.000077 0.000131 0.000219 0.000373 0.000635 0.001066 0.001834
2025-02-23 0.000071 0.000124 0.000213 0.000372 0.000651 0.001123 0.001989
2025-03-02 0.000065 0.000117 0.000206 0.000370 0.000666 0.001182 0.002157
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000110 0.000200 0.000370 0.000686 0.001251 0.002349
2025-03-16 0.000055 0.000105 0.000195 0.000371 0.000707 0.001325 0.002559
2025-03-23 0.000051 0.000100 0.000191 0.000372 0.000728 0.001400 0.002779
2025-03-30 0.000047 0.000094 0.000184 0.000368 0.000738 0.001455 0.002964
2025-04-06 0.000044 0.000090 0.000180 0.000368 0.000758 0.001530 0.003198
2025-04-13 0.000041 0.000086 0.000177 0.000371 0.000781 0.001616 0.003461
2025-04-20 0.000038 0.000082 0.000171 0.000366 0.000790 0.001671 0.003666
2025-04-27 0.000037 0.000081 0.000174 0.000382 0.000843 0.001824 0.004096
2025-05-04 0.000035 0.000079 0.000173 0.000388 0.000874 0.001931 0.004438
2025-05-11 0.000033 0.000077 0.000171 0.000392 0.000902 0.002036 0.004784